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Paused

Calibration in Credit Risk Scoring

A loan default model served behind an API, built to ask whether the score is honest about its own uncertainty rather than whether it is accurate.

Status
Paused
Last updated
February 2026

01

So far

A well ranked model can be badly calibrated, and for a lending decision calibration is what matters, because the probability is the thing being acted on. Isotonic calibration on a held out split closed most of the gap. Paused rather than finished: the remaining work is measuring calibration drift over time, which needs a longer window of production data than I have.

02

Stack

  • scikit-learn
  • Jupyter
  • FastAPI

Contact

If you are working on something where being wrong matters, I would like to hear about it.

I am open to consulting engagements, research collaborations, and conversations that do not have a clear outcome yet.